Effects of exemplar scenarios on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool

Demski, Christina ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-452X, Pidgeon, Nicholas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8991-0398 and Spence, Alexa 2017. Effects of exemplar scenarios on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool. Nature Energy 2 (4) , 17027. 10.1038/nenergy.2017.27

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Abstract

Understanding which energy future configurations provide publically acceptable levels of energy security, affordability, and environmental protection is critical for institutional decision-making. However, little is known about how scenarios influence energy preferences. Here we present nationally representative UK data on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool that engages people to consider the holistic complexities of system change. Engagement with the tool strengthened existing preferences for renewable energy and intentions to take personal action. Importantly, patterns of energy preferences were influenced by exemplar scenarios, which served as reference points that anchored choices. Carbon capture and storage, nuclear power, biofuels, and changes to heating and travel were particularly impacted by scenarios indicating uncertainty and ambivalence regarding these options. Scenarios (and scenario-building tools) are valuable for engaging citizens about future energy systems. However, care is required in their design and interpretation to reach robust conclusions about underlying preferences and acceptance.

Item Type:	Article
Date Type:	Publication
Status:	Published
Schools:	Psychology
Subjects:	B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > BF Psychology
Publisher:	Springer Nature
ISSN:	2058-7546
Date of First Compliant Deposit:	20 February 2017
Date of Acceptance:	8 February 2017
Last Modified:	25 Nov 2024 14:45
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/98417

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