Analysing vote choice in a multi-national state: national identity and territorial differentiation in the 2016 Brexit vote

Henderson, Ailsa, Poole, Ed Gareth ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9817-5014, Wyn Jones, Richard ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7698-5959, Wincott, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9287-2150, Larner, Jac ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5171-8851 and Jeffery, Charlie 2021. Analysing vote choice in a multi-national state: national identity and territorial differentiation in the 2016 Brexit vote. Regional Studies 55 (9) , pp. 1502-1516. 10.1080/00343404.2020.1813883

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Abstract

Striking territorial variations in the 2016 Brexit referendum are neglected in the explanatory literature, a gap our analysis of British Election Study helps to fill. Rather than modelling Britain as one political system, we present parallel models for England, Scotland and Wales. Typical in other multi-national states, this approach is innovative for ‘British politics’. To analyse complex multi-level national identities, we develop a Relative Territorial Identity (RTI) measure. Substantively, RTI predicts Brexit vote-choice. Since voters who prioritise English identity tended to vote Leave, while the obverse was true in Wales and Scotland, RTI helps to explain territorial differentiation.

Item Type:	Article
Date Type:	Publication
Status:	Published
Schools:	Department of Politics and International Relations (POLIR) Cardiff Law & Politics
Publisher:	Taylor & Francis
ISSN:	0034-3404
Date of First Compliant Deposit:	24 August 2020
Date of Acceptance:	10 August 2020
Last Modified:	11 Nov 2024 13:15
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/106262

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