War, trade corridors, and the resilience of grain and fertilizer supply chains

Jiang, Bin and Han, Jeong Hugh 2026. War, trade corridors, and the resilience of grain and fertilizer supply chains. Hoang, Thinh Gia, ed. Geopolitics, War, and the Strategic Repositioning of Supply Chains, IGI Global Scientific Publishing, pp. 277-302. (10.4018/979-8-2600-1268-0.ch011)

Full text not available from this repository.

Abstract

Armed conflict can disrupt food systems simultaneously through reduced production, damaged infrastructure, insecure transport corridors, export restrictions, fertilizer scarcity, energy-price inflation, and diminished purchasing power. This chapter examines the organizational consequences of these interacting shocks through grain and fertilizer supply chains affected by the Russia–Ukraine war. It develops a source–corridor–input vulnerability framework connecting origin concentration, route concentration, input criticality, substitution time, and buffering capacity. Scenario-based analysis shows that alternative maritime, river, rail, and road corridors can preserve physical availability but frequently increase handling, freight, insurance, storage, and financing costs. Fertilizer and energy shocks can also outlast the immediate interruption of grain exports by reducing subsequent harvests. Resilience therefore requires simultaneous protection of supply continuity, commercial affordability, agricultural production, and access for vulnerable consumers.

Item Type:	Book Section
Date Type:	Publication
Status:	Published
Schools:	Schools > Business (Including Economics)
Publisher:	IGI Global Scientific Publishing
ISBN:	9798260012680
Last Modified:	28 Oct 2026 14:45
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/190507

Actions (repository staff only)

Edit Item