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Towards a Low Carbon Wales: modelling a 'not-quite-devolved' energy system

Georgakaki, Aliki, Ampatzi, Eleni ORCID: and Eames, Malcolm 2012. Towards a Low Carbon Wales: modelling a 'not-quite-devolved' energy system. Presented at: CESUN 2012, Third International Engineering Systems Symposium Design and Governance in Engineering Systems, Delft, 18-20 June 2012.

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This paper examines the complexities and challenges of modelling a regional energy system in the context of Wales. Despite a wealth of studies at national level, as most research does not address UK regions and devolved administrations separately, it can be challenging to derive insights into the regional potential of different technologies and transition pathways,. However, as technologies that tackle energy supply and demand at a distributed level become both available and necessary in order to achieve energy efficiency and emission reduction targets, much of the responsibility for their implementation is increasingly passed to regional and local governments. In addition, research has shown that the effectiveness of such measures is dependent on the marginal emission factor of the system generator at the time they are implemented. Consequently broad average factors do not accurately reflect their impact. The Welsh Government (WG) has set ambitious targets for both carbon emission reductions and renewable power generation capacity. Set against the background of limited devolved powers – decisions on large scale power generation still lie with central UK government – and an integrated power network in which Wales is a net power exporter, the WG policy goals present an interesting modelling problem. In this paper we discuss the need to undertake a ‘regional’ scale integrated energy modelling and assessment for Wales, in order to improve the evidence base on the potential contributions of different technologies against common background techno-economic scenarios. We also debate the most appropriate indicators and metrics for monitoring progress against the WG policy objectives based on region-specific data.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Date Type: Completion
Status: Unpublished
Schools: Architecture
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
N Fine Arts > NA Architecture
Uncontrolled Keywords: Low carbon, regional policy, scenario modelling
Last Modified: 20 Oct 2022 09:16

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