Chen, Y. F. and Disney, Stephen Michael ![]() |
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Abstract
We develop a discrete control theory model of a stochastic demand pattern with both Auto Regressive and Moving Average (ARMA) components. We show that the bullwhip effect arises when the myopic Order-Up-To (OUT) policy is used. This policy is optimal when the ordering cost is linear. We then derive a set of z-transform transfer functions of a modified policy that allows us to avoid the bullwhip problem by incorporating a proportional controller into the inventory position feedback loop. With this technique, the order variation can be reduced to the same level as the demand variation. However, bullwhip-effect avoidance in our policy always comes at the costs of holding extra inventory. When the ordering cost is piece -wise linear and increasing, we compare the total cost per period under the two types of ordering policies: with and without bullwhip - effect reduction. Numerical examples reveal that the cost saving can be substantial if order variance is reduced using the proportional controller.
Item Type: | Conference or Workshop Item (Paper) |
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Date Type: | Publication |
Status: | Published |
Schools: | Business (Including Economics) Centre for Advanced Manufacturing Systems At Cardiff (CAMSAC) |
Subjects: | H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General) H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | Bullwhip effect, Inventory, Order-Up-To policy, Control theory |
Publisher: | Servizi Grafici Editoriali |
ISBN: | 9788886281782 |
Related URLs: | |
Last Modified: | 25 Oct 2022 08:32 |
URI: | https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/53348 |
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