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Output and inflation in models of the business cycle with nominal rigidities: some counterfactual evidence

Paez-Farrell, Juan 2006. Output and inflation in models of the business cycle with nominal rigidities: some counterfactual evidence. [Working Paper]. Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff: Cardiff University.

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Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between cyclical output and inflation in models commonly used for monetary policy analysis. This includes models that incorporate the New Keynesian, Fuhrer-Moore and backward-looking Phillips curves. The main finding is that these models imply a strong negative relationship between inflation and output, a result that is at odds with the data. The fact that New Keynesian models yield counterfactual implications is not new; the novelty of the paper lies in the fact that the finding extends to the other variants, such as the backward-looking Phillips Curve, which has been put forward as displaying superior dynamics.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Date Type: Publication
Status: Published
Schools: Business (Including Economics)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Publisher: Cardiff University
Date of First Compliant Deposit: 30 March 2016
Last Modified: 05 Oct 2015 15:11
URI: https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/77725

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