Asymmetric volatility spillover between crude oil and other asset markets

Guan, Bo ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9764-5646, Mazouz, Khelifa ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6711-1715 and Xu, Yongdeng ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8275-1585 2024. Asymmetric volatility spillover between crude oil and other asset markets. Energy Economics 130 , 107305. 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107305

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Abstract

This study uses the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) to explore asymmetric volatility spillovers between crude oil and other major asset markets. We have extended the MEM of Engle et al. (2012) to include asymmetric volatility spillovers and developed the spillover balance as well as asymmetric spillover indexes. We have then allowed these indexes to vary over time. Our results reveal that the stock market is the dominant contributor to volatility spillover, while the crude oil is mostly the volatility spillover recipient. The asymmetric spillover effects are predominantly negative in the stock and crude oil markets and positive in the bond market. We further show that the spillover indexes are dynamic and influenced by specific events, such as the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as varying economic conditions.

Item Type:	Article
Date Type:	Publication
Status:	Published
Schools:	Business (Including Economics)
Publisher:	Elsevier
ISSN:	0140-9883
Date of First Compliant Deposit:	18 January 2024
Date of Acceptance:	1 January 2024
Last Modified:	09 Feb 2024 12:15
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/165637

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