Mainstreaming forecast based action into national disaster risk management systems: experience from drought risk management in Kenya

Mwangi, Emmah, Taylor, Olivia, Todd, Martin C., Visman, Emma, Kniveton, Dom, Kilavi, Mary, Ndegwa, William, Otieno, George, Waruru, Shamton, Mwangi, John, Ambani, Maurine, Abdillahi, Halima, MacLeod, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5504-6450, Rowhani, Pedram, Graham, Richard and Colman, Andrew 2022. Mainstreaming forecast based action into national disaster risk management systems: experience from drought risk management in Kenya. Climate and Development 14 (8) , 741–756. 10.1080/17565529.2021.1984194

Preview

PDF - Published Version Available under License Creative Commons Attribution. Download (4MB) | Preview

Abstract

Drought and food security crises heighten risks to lives and livelihoods in East Africa. In recent years, a shift towards acting in advance of such events has gained momentum, notably among the humanitarian and development community. This shift is premised on tools that link climate forecasts with pre-agreed actions and funding, known as Forecast-based Action (FbA), or anticipatory action more widely. While FbA approaches have been developed by a number of humanitarian agencies, the key to scaling-up is mainstreaming these approaches into national risk management systems. This paper addresses this gap in the context of drought risk management in Kenya. We analyse Kenya's current drought management system to assess the potential usability of climate forecast information within the existing system, and outline steps towards improved usability of climate information. Further, we note the critical importance of enabling institutions and reliable financing to ensure that information can be consistently used to trigger early action. We discuss the implications of this for scaling-up FbA into national risk management systems.

Item Type:	Article
Date Type:	Publication
Status:	Published
Schools:	Earth and Environmental Sciences
Publisher:	Taylor and Francis Group
ISSN:	1756-5529
Date of First Compliant Deposit:	24 October 2024
Date of Acceptance:	17 September 2021
Last Modified:	08 Nov 2024 16:30
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/173288

Actions (repository staff only)

Edit Item