Taylor rule or optimal timeless policy? Reconsidering the Fed’s behaviour since 1982

Minford, Patrick and Ou, Zhirong ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4610-7183 2010. Taylor rule or optimal timeless policy? Reconsidering the Fed’s behaviour since 1982. [Working Paper]. Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff: Cardiff University.

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Abstract

We calibrate a standard New Keynesian model with three alternative representations of monetary policy- an optimal timeless rule, a Taylor rule and another with interest rate smoothing- with the aim of testing which if any can match the data according to the method of indirect inference. We find that the only model version that fails to be strongly rejected is the optimal timeless rule. Furthermore this version can also account for the widespread finding of apparent ‘Taylor rules’ and ‘interest rate smoothing’ in the data, even though neither represents the true monetary policy.

Item Type:	Monograph (Working Paper)
Date Type:	Publication
Status:	Published
Schools:	Business (Including Economics)
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Publisher:	Cardiff University
Date of First Compliant Deposit:	30 March 2016
Last Modified:	28 Oct 2022 10:19
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/77832

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