How many and how do we know? Assessing population projection methods in Ontario

Hartt, Maxwell ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-7890 and Clarence, Woudsma 2014. How many and how do we know? Assessing population projection methods in Ontario. Canadian Journal of Urban Research 23 (1) , pp. 83-97.

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Abstract

As population projections inform different types of decisions at the local, regional, provincial and national scale, it follows that different levels of governance would have differing emphases and methods. Similarly, considering the variability of population size, and fiscal and monetary resources between municipalities, different cities implement significantly different population projection methods. This review of methodological differences reflected in the approaches taken by various levels of government concludes that more complex, time consuming and expensive models are used at higher levels of governance and in larger cities and are more likely to provide more accurate and precise results. Smaller and peripheral cities tend to use simpler, less time- and resource-intensive methods. An assessment framework of nine criteria concluded that the share capture method is the best methodological alternative for local scale population projection.

Item Type:	Article
Date Type:	Publication
Status:	Published
Schools:	Geography and Planning (GEOPL)
Publisher:	Institute of Urban Studies, University of Winnipeg
ISSN:	1188-3774
Related URLs:	Publisher
Last Modified:	03 Nov 2022 10:33
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/108445

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