Atkinson, Douglas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4628-1664 and Williford, George 2016. Research note: “Should we stay or should we go? Exploring the outcomes of great power retrenchment”. Research and Politics 3 (4) , pp. 1-6. 10.1177/2053168016682888 |
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Abstract
Within foreign policy and academic circles in the United States and other western countries, retrenchment has become an increasingly controversial topic. In spite of the increased attention, there have been few empirical studies that rigorously examine the outcomes of great power retrenchment. In this paper, we seek to fill this gap by performing a quantitative analysis of great power retrenchment outcomes from 1870–2007. Counter to the retrenchment pessimists’ expectations, we find that retrenchment leads to relatively positive outcomes for declining states. States that choose to retrench experience shorter periods of economic decline and are less likely to be the target of predatory conflict initiation.
Item Type: | Article |
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Date Type: | Publication |
Status: | Published |
Schools: | Department of Politics and International Relations (POLIR) |
Publisher: | SAGE Publications |
ISSN: | 2053-1680 |
Funders: | none |
Date of First Compliant Deposit: | 5 February 2019 |
Date of Acceptance: | 11 October 2016 |
Last Modified: | 06 May 2023 01:47 |
URI: | https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/119196 |
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