Barber, Paul R., Weitsman, Gregory, Lawler, Katherine, Barrett, James E., Rowley, Mark, Rodriguez-Justo, Manuel, Fisher, David, Gao, Fangfei, Tullis, Iain D.C., Deng, Jinhai, Brown, Louise, Kaplan, Richard, Hochhauser, Daniel, Adams, Richard ![]() |
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Abstract
BACKGROUND: The phase 3 MRC COIN trial showed no statistically significant benefit from adding the EGFR-target cetuximab to oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy in first-line treatment of advanced colorectal cancer. This study exploits additional information on HER2-HER3 dimerization to achieve patient stratification and reveal previously hidden subgroups of patients who had differing disease progression and treatment response. METHODS: HER2-HER3 dimerization was quantified by 'FLIM Histology' in primary tumor samples from 550 COIN trial patients receiving oxaliplatin and fluoropyrimidine chemotherapy +/-cetuximab. Bayesian latent class analysis (LCA) and covariate reduction was performed to analyze the effects of HER2-HER3 dimer, RAS mutation and cetuximab on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). All statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS: LCA on a cohort of 398 patients revealed two patient subclasses with differing prognoses (median OS: 1624 days [95%CI=1466-1816] vs 461 [95%CI=431-504]): Class 1 (15.6%) showed a benefit from cetuximab in OS (HR = 0.43 [95%CI=0.25-0.76]; p = 0.004). Class 2 showed an association of increased HER2-HER3 with better OS (HR = 0.64 [95%CI=0.44-0.94]; p = 0.02). A class prediction signature was formed and tested on an independent validation cohort (N = 152) validating the prognostic utility of the dimer assay. Similar subclasses were also discovered in full trial dataset (N = 1,630) based on 10 baseline clinicopathological and genetic covariates. CONCLUSIONS: Our work suggests that the combined use of HER dimer imaging and conventional mutation analyses will be able to identify a small subclass of patients (>10%) who will have better prognosis following chemotherapy. A larger prospective cohort will be required to confirm its utility in predicting the outcome of anti-EGFR treatment.
Item Type: | Article |
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Date Type: | Publication |
Status: | Published |
Schools: | Medicine Centre for Trials Research (CNTRR) |
Publisher: | Oxford University Press |
ISSN: | 0027-8874 |
Date of First Compliant Deposit: | 13 December 2019 |
Date of Acceptance: | 5 December 2019 |
Last Modified: | 20 Nov 2024 23:15 |
URI: | https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/127500 |
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