Sustainability, foresight and contested futures: exploring visions and pathways in the transition to a hydrogen economy

Eames, Malcolm and McDowall, William 2010. Sustainability, foresight and contested futures: exploring visions and pathways in the transition to a hydrogen economy. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management 22 (6) , pp. 671-692. 10.1080/09537325.2010.497255

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Abstract

This paper reports an innovative foresighting study which constructed a set of hydrogen futures and pathways to them, in order to inform the transition to a sustainable hydrogen economy. Combining backcasting and multi-criteria appraisal the authors developed a participatory expert stakeholder-led methodology to build and appraise a set of visions, which sought to acknowledge the diversity of possible hydrogen futures and contested claims as to their sustainability. A set of transition scenarios were then developed exploring the dynamics and governance of the large-scale socio-technical changes that would be required for the emergence of the different visions. While aspects of this project have been reported elsewhere, this paper seeks to: (1) locate the work with respect to broader developments in the fields of foresight, expectations and socio-technical transitions to sustainability; (2) provide a description of the UKSHEC sustainable futures methodology; and (3) reflect on key insights for research and practice.

Item Type:	Article
Date Type:	Publication
Status:	Published
Schools:	Architecture
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HT Communities. Classes. Races T Technology > TD Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
Uncontrolled Keywords:	scenario planning, technology and innovation studies, energy industry, foresight
Additional Information:	Special Issue: TRANSFORMING THE ENERGY SYSTEM: THE ROLE OF INSTITUTIONS, INTERESTS AND IDEAS
Publisher:	Taylor & Francis
ISSN:	0953-7325
Last Modified:	28 Jun 2019 02:10
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/14590

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