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Experiences of co-producing sub-seasonal forecast products for agricultural application in Kenya and Ghana

Hirons, Linda, Wainwright, Caroline ORCID:, Nying’uro, Patricia, Quaye, David, Ashong, Jesse, Kiptum, Chris, Opoku, Nana Kofi, Thompson, Elisabeth M and Lamptey, Benjamin 2023. Experiences of co-producing sub-seasonal forecast products for agricultural application in Kenya and Ghana. Weather 78 (5) , pp. 148-153. 10.1002/wea.4381

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The development and application of new sub-seasonal forecasting products in the agricultural sectors of Ghana and Kenya are described. Using a co-production approach transforms the role of the forecast user from merely a recipient of forecast information to being involved in the forecast product development process. This approach is resource intensive, but it can improve the application of forecasts in decision-making by giving the in-country services the agility to respond to local needs. Sub-seasonal forecasts (1–4 weeks) have potential to aid agricultural planning. Realising this potential requires the co-production of reliable forecast products with agricultural users. The African SWIFT (Science for Weather Information and Forecasting Techniques) project ran a 2-year sub-seasonal forecasting testbed bringing together forecast users, producers and researchers in Africa and the United Kingdom to co-produce bespoke forecasts. Here, agricultural case studies in Ghana and Kenya show having direct access to the sub-seasonal data in real time gave local operational centres the agency to iteratively develop, communicate and visualise the forecast information in an appropriate way to support agricultural decision-making.

Item Type: Article
Date Type: Publication
Status: Published
Schools: Earth and Environmental Sciences
Publisher: Royal Meteorological Society
ISSN: 0043-1656
Date of First Compliant Deposit: 15 February 2023
Date of Acceptance: 8 February 2023
Last Modified: 18 May 2023 00:22

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