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Number of items: 26.

Gler, Marimel, Turner, Andrew, Hirons, Linda, Wainwright, Caroline ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846 and Marzin, Charline 2025. Systematic biases over the equatorial Indian Ocean and their influence on seasonal forecasts of the IOD. Climate Dynamics 63 (8) , 328. 10.1007/s00382-025-07794-6
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Barimalala, Rondrotiana, Wainwright, Caroline ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Kolstad, Erik W. and Demissie, Teferi D. 2024. The 2019-21 drought in southern Madagascar. Weather and Climate Extremes 46 , 100723. 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100723
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Kolstad, Erik W., Parker, Douglas J., MacLeod, David A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5504-6450, Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846 and Hirons, Linda C. 2024. Beyond the regional average: Drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 150 (764) , pp. 4550-4566. 10.1002/qj.4829
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Gudoshava, Masilin, Nyinguro, Patricia, Talib, Joshua, Wainwright, Caroline ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Mwanthi, Anthony, Hirons, Linda, de Andrade, Felipe, Mutemi, Joseph, Gitau, Wilson, Thompson, Elisabeth, Gacheru, Jemimah, Marsham, John, Endris, Hussen Seid, Woolnough, Steven, Segele, Zewdu, Atheru, Zachary and Artan, Guleid 2024. Drivers of sub‐seasonal extreme rainfall and their representation in ECMWF forecasts during the Eastern African March‐to‐May seasons of 2018–2020. Meteorological Applications 31 (5) , e70000. 10.1002/met.70000
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Talib, Joshua, Taylor, Christopher M., Harris, Bethan L. and Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846 2023. Surface-driven amplification of MJO circulation anomalies across East Africa and its influence on the Turkana jet. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 149 (754) , pp. 1890-1912. 10.1002/qj.4487
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Hirons, Linda, Wainwright, Caroline ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Nying’uro, Patricia, Quaye, David, Ashong, Jesse, Kiptum, Chris, Opoku, Nana Kofi, Thompson, Elisabeth M and Lamptey, Benjamin 2023. Experiences of co-producing sub-seasonal forecast products for agricultural application in Kenya and Ghana. Weather 78 (5) , pp. 148-153. 10.1002/wea.4381
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Palmer, Paul I., Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Dong, Bo, Maidment, Ross I., Wheeler, Kevin G., Gedney, Nicola, Hickman, Jonathan E., Madani, Nima, Folwell, Sonja S., Abdo, Gamal, Allan, Richard P., Black, Emily C. L., Feng, Liang, Gudoshava, Masilin, Haines, Keith, Huntingford, Chris, Kilavi, Mary, Lunt, Mark F., Shaaban, Ahmed and Turner, Andrew G. 2023. Drivers and impacts of Eastern African rainfall variability. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment 10.1038/s43017-023-00397-x
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Crook, Julia, Marsham, John H., Fitzpatrick, Rory, Aryee, Jeffrey N. A., Baidu, Michael, Baker, Jessica C. A., Bland, Sam, Chapman, Sarah, Denby, Leif, Hartley, Andrew, Kovacs, Eszter, Lam, Timothy, Morris, Fran, Mwanthi, Anthony, Owen, Laura, Peatman, Simon, Pickering, Ben, Sabiiti, Geoffrey, Wainwright, Caroline ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Webb, Tom, Yamba, Edmund I., Bani, Eric Koka, Amoako, Kingsley Kwako and Ochieng, Willis 2023. The Leeds Africa Climate Hackathon – experiences of running a hackathon and highlights of results. Weather 78 (2) , pp. 36-42. 10.1002/wea.4246
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Gudoshava, Masilin, Wainwright, Caroline ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Hirons, Linda, Endris, Hussen S., Segele, Zewdu T., Woolnough, Steve, Atheru, Zachary and Artan, Gueleid 2022. Atmospheric and oceanic conditions associated with early and late onset for Eastern Africa short rains. International Journal of Climatology 42 (12) , pp. 6562-6578. 10.1002/joc.7627
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Nkrumah, Francis, Quagraine, Kwesi Akumenyi, Wainwright, Caroline ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Quenum, Gandomè Mayeul Leger Davy, Amankwah, Abraham and Klutse, Nana Ama Browne 2022. Performance of CMIP6 HighResMIP on the representation of onset and cessation of seasonal rainfall in Southern West Africa. Atmosphere 13 (7) , 999. 10.3390/atmos13070999
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Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Allan, Richard P. and Black, Emily 2022. Consistent trends in dry spell length in recent observations and future projections. Geophysical Research Letters 49 (12) , e2021GL097231. 10.1029/2021GL097231
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Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Black, Emily and Allan, Richard P. 2021. Future changes in wet and dry season characteristics in CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations. Journal of Hydrometeorology 22 (9) , 2339–2357. 10.1175/jhm-d-21-0017.1
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Senior, Catherine A., Marsham, John H., Berthou, Segolene, Burgin, Laura E., Folwell, Sonja S., Kendon, Elizabeth J., Klein, Cornelia M., Jones, Richard G., Mittal, Neha, Powell, David P., Tomassini, Lorenzo, Vischel, Theo, Becker, Bernd, Birch, Cathryn E., Crook, Julia, Dougill, Andrew J., Finney, Declan L., Graham, Richard J., Hart, Neil C. G., Jack, Christopher D., Jackson, Lawrence S., James, Rachel, Koelle, Bettina, Misiani, Herbert, Mwalukanga, Brenda, Parker, Douglas J., Stratton, Rachel A., Taylor, Christopher M., Tucker, Simon O., Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Washington, Richard and Willet, Martin R. 2021. Convection permitting regional climate change simulations for understanding future climate and informing decision making in Africa. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 102 (6) , E1206–E1223. 10.1175/bams-d-20-0020.1

Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Marsham, John H., Powell, David P., Finney, Declan L. and Black, Emily 2021. Future changes in seasonality in East Africa from regional simulations with explicit and parameterized convection. Journal of Climate 34 (4) , pp. 1367-1385. 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0450.1
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Taylor, Joseph, Nicoll, Malcolm A. C., Black, Emily, Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Jones, Carl G., Tatayah, Vikash, Vidale, Pier Luigi and Norris, Ken 2021. Phenological tracking of a seasonal climate window in a recovering tropical island bird species. Climatic Change 164 (3-4) , 41. 10.1007/s10584-021-02971-y
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Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Finney, Declan L., Kilavi, Mary, Black, Emily and Marsham, John H. 2021. Extreme rainfall in East Africa, October 2019–January 2020 and context under future climate change. Weather 76 (1) , pp. 26-31. 10.1002/wea.3824
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Black, Emily, Pinnington, Ewan, Wainwright, Caroline ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Lahive, Fiona, Quaife, Tristan, Allan, Richard P., Cook, Peter, Daymond, Andrew, Hadley, Paul, McGuire, Patrick, Verhoef, Anne and Vidale, Pier Luigi 2021. Cocoa plant productivity in West Africa under climate change: a modelling and experimental study. Environmental Research Letters 16 (1) , 014009. 10.1088/1748-9326/abc3f3
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Monerie, Paul Arthur, Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Sidibe, Moussa and Akinsanola, Akintomide Afolayan 2020. Model uncertainties in climate change impacts on Sahel precipitation in ensembles of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations. Climate Dynamics 55 (5-6) , pp. 1385-1401. 10.1007/s00382-020-05332-0
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Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Hirons, Linda C., Klingaman, Nicholas P., Allan, Richard P., Black, Emily and Turner, Andrew G. 2019. The impact of air–sea coupling and ocean biases on the seasonal cycle of southern West African precipitation. Climate Dynamics 53 (11) , pp. 7027-7044. 10.1007/s00382-019-04973-0
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Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Marsham, John H., Keane, Richard J., Rowell, David P., Finney, Declan L., Black, Emily and Allan, Richard P. 2019. ‘Eastern African Paradox’ rainfall decline due to shorter not less intense Long Rains. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 2 , 34. 10.1038/s41612-019-0091-7
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Dunning, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Black, Emily and Allan, Richard P. 2018. Later wet seasons with more intense rainfall over Africa under future climate change. Journal of Climate 31 (23) , pp. 9719-9738. 10.1175/jcli-d-18-0102.1
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Dunning, Caroline M ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Allan, Richard P and Black, Emily 2017. Identification of deficiencies in seasonal rainfall simulated by CMIP5 climate models. Environmental Research Letters 12 , pp. 1-11. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa869e
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Dunning, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Black, Emily C. L. and Allan, Richard P. 2016. The onset and cessation of seasonal rainfall over Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 121 (19) , pp. 11405-11424. 10.1002/2016JD025428
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Kolusu, S. R., Marsham, J. H., Mulcahy, J., Johnson, B., Dunning, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Bush, M. and Spracklen, D. V. 2015. Impacts of Amazonia biomass burning aerosols assessed from short-range weather forecasts. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 15 (21) , 12251–12266. 10.5194/acp-15-12251-2015
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Dunning, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Turner, A G and Brayshaw, D J 2015. The impact of monsoon intraseasonal variability on renewable power generation in India. Environmental Research Letters 10 (6) , 064002. 10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/064002
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Gray, S. L., Dunning, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Methven, J., Masato, G. and Chagnon, J. M. 2014. Systematic model forecast error in Rossby wave structure. Geophysical Research Letters 41 (8) , pp. 2979-2987. 10.1002/2014GL059282
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This list was generated on Tue Oct 28 10:33:08 2025 GMT.


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