Combined oil spill modelling and shoreline sensitivity analysis for contingency planning in the Irish Sea

Hughes, Shania, Alves, Tiago M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2765-3760 and Hales, T.C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3330-3302 2023. Combined oil spill modelling and shoreline sensitivity analysis for contingency planning in the Irish Sea. Marine Pollution Bulletin 193 , 115154. 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2023.115154

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Abstract

Offshore oil spills often result in severe environmental and socio-economic consequences. This work focuses on a busy, yet poorly studied part of NW Europe, the Irish Sea, to assess the impact of future oil spills on the nearby coast. By integrating numerical models and shoreline sensitivity analyses for two confined areas, Liverpool Bay and Milford Haven, this work acknowledges wind direction and speed as principal controls on the movement of oil under winter/storm conditions and in shallow waters. Ocean currents play a secondary role, but are significant in deeper waters and in low-wind summer conditions. The temporal elements used in the modelling thus stress that when the spill occurs is just as important as where. As a corollary, the fate of spilled oil is determined in this work for distinct scenarios and types. Response strategies are recommended to minimise the impact of future spills on coastal populations.

Item Type:	Article
Date Type:	Published Online
Status:	Published
Schools:	Earth and Environmental Sciences
Publisher:	Elsevier
ISSN:	0025-326X
Date of First Compliant Deposit:	28 July 2023
Date of Acceptance:	5 June 2023
Last Modified:	01 Aug 2023 19:49
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/161337

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