Children’s early care experiences and their educational attainment: a population data-linkage study in Wales

Lowthian, Emily, Bedston, Stuart, Lee, Alex, Akbari, Ashley, Griffiths, Lucy, Crick, Tom and Forrester, Donald ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2293-5718 2025. Children’s early care experiences and their educational attainment: a population data-linkage study in Wales. Oxford Review of Education 10.1080/03054985.2025.2540036

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Abstract

Care-experienced children are at risk of lower educational attainment. Duration of care is related to attainment, as is the type of placement(s) (e.g. foster care). To determine ‘what works’ for care-experienced children, our research examined: i) profiles of children on their care experiences, and ii) how these relate to educational attainment at age seven. Using anonymised, linked records in Wales, United Kingdom, we constructed an e-cohort of children born between September 2000 and August 2003. Data sources included births, children’s social care, primary health care, demographics and education. We conducted latent class analysis using a three-step approach, summarising social care experiences with attainment at age seven in English/Welsh and mathematics as a distal outcome. Seven profiles best fitted the data, using data on placement types, duration and age on entry. For the first six years of life, those who experienced foster care which progressed to adoption showed the highest attainment (~1.00 masked), whereas those children who entered foster care from their fourth birthday had the lowest attainment intercept (0.40, 0.13–0.68). From this, we argue that stakeholders should develop additional support for children whose placement is largely foster care, as this group was most at risk of low attainment.

Item Type:	Article
Date Type:	Published Online
Status:	In Press
Schools:	Schools > Social Sciences (Includes Criminology and Education) Research Institutes & Centres > Children’s Social Care Research and Development Centre (CASCADE)
Additional Information:	License information from Publisher: LICENSE 1: URL: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, Start Date: 2025-09-12
Publisher:	Taylor and Francis Group
ISSN:	0305-4985
Date of First Compliant Deposit:	23 September 2025
Last Modified:	23 Sep 2025 10:00
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/181271

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