Systematic review of the use and value of computer simulation modelling in population health and health care delivery [review]

Fone, David Lawrence ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6476-4881, Hollinghurst, S., Temple, M., Round, A., Lester, N., Weightman, Alison ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5210-3798, Roberts, K., Coyle, E., Bevan, G. and Palmer, S. 2003. Systematic review of the use and value of computer simulation modelling in population health and health care delivery [review]. Journal of Public Health Medicine 25 (4) , pp. 325-335. 10.1093/pubmed/fdg075

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: The objective of the review was to evaluate the extent, quality and value of computer simulation modelling in population health and health care delivery. METHODS: A narrative systematic review was carried out of world literature from 1980 to 1999, searching Medline, INSPEC, Embase, HealthSTAR, Science Citation Index, CINAHL, MathSci, INFORMS Online and SIGLE databases, and researchers in the field were contacted. Papers were included if they contained a computer simulation model of individuals in a stochastic system and the topic or setting related to population health or health service delivery. RESULTS: A total of 182 papers met the inclusion criteria. Simulation modelling has been undertaken in a wide range of health care topic areas, including hospital scheduling and organization, communicable disease, screening, costs of illness and economic evaluation. However, the quality of published papers was variable and few reported on the outcomes of implementation of models, so that the value of modelling could not be assessed. CONCLUSION: Simulation modelling is a powerful method for modelling both small and large populations to inform policy makers in the provision of health care. It has been applied to a wide variety of health care problems. Although the number of modelling papers has grown substantially over recent years, further research is required to assess the value of modelling.

Item Type:	Article
Date Type:	Publication
Status:	Published
Schools:	Medicine Academic & Student Support Service
Subjects:	R Medicine > R Medicine (General) R Medicine > RZ Other systems of medicine
Publisher:	Royal Colleges of Physicians of the United Kingdom
ISSN:	0957-4832
Last Modified:	27 Oct 2022 09:55
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/68217

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