House price shocks, negative equity, and household consumption in the United Kingdom

Disney, Richard, Gathergood, John and Henley, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4057-1679 2010. House price shocks, negative equity, and household consumption in the United Kingdom. Journal of the European Economic Association 8 (6) , pp. 1179-1207. 10.1111/j.1542-4774.2010.tb00552.x

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Abstract

We examine the impact of unanticipated housing capital gains on consumption behavior using data from the British Household Panel Survey and county-level house price data. We condition the models on household financial expectations and on household real financial capital gains imputed from the Family Resources Survey. We find a marginal propensity to consume out of unanticipated shocks to housing wealth of 0.01. Omitting the measure of financial expectations biases the results upward. We find little evidence of heterogeneity in responses of young and old homeowners, but differences between owners and renters. We also find asymmetric behavior between house price rises and falls, and a disproportionate impact on saving if the household had negative housing equity at the start of the period.

Item Type:	Article
Date Type:	Publication
Status:	Published
Schools:	Business (Including Economics)
Publisher:	Wiley Blackwell
ISSN:	1542-4766
Date of First Compliant Deposit:	4 August 2016
Last Modified:	01 Nov 2022 11:01
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/93606

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