Artificial intelligence enabled microgrid power generation prediction

Wang, Xueyi, Li, Shancang and Iqbal, M. 2024. Artificial intelligence enabled microgrid power generation prediction. Open Computer Science

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Abstract

The rapidly increasing photovoltaic technology is one of the key renewable energies expected to mitigate the impact of climate change and the energy crisis, which has been widely installed in the past few years. However, the variability of PV power generation creates different negative impacts on the electric grid systems and a resilient and predictable PV power generation is crucial to stabilize and secure grid operation and promote large-scale PV power integration. This paper proposed machine learning based short-term PV power generation forecasting techniques by using XGBoost, SARIMA, and LSTM algorithms. {The experimental results demonstrated that the proposed resilient LSTM solution can accurately predict (around 90\% $R^2$ and 0.028 $RMSE$) PV power generation with minimum input data.

Item Type:	Article
Status:	In Press
Schools:	Computer Science & Informatics
Publisher:	De Gruyter
Date of First Compliant Deposit:	28 November 2024
Date of Acceptance:	28 October 2024
Last Modified:	28 Nov 2024 14:45
URI:	https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/169210

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