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Multi-modal data fusion and deep ensemble learning for accurate crop yield prediction

Yewle, Akshay Dagadu, Mirzayeva, Laman and Karakuş, Oktay ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8009-9319 2025. Multi-modal data fusion and deep ensemble learning for accurate crop yield prediction. Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment 38 , 101613. 10.1016/j.rsase.2025.101613

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Abstract

This study introduces RicEns-Net, a novel deep ensemble model for rice yield prediction in the Mekong Delta region of Vietnam, integrating diverse data sources through multi-modal data fusion. The model leverages synthetic aperture radar (SAR), optical remote sensing (Sentinel-1/2/3) and meteorological measurements (surface temperature, rainfall) to improve prediction precision. A comprehensive feature selection reduced over 100 potential predictors to 15 key features across 5 data modalities, mitigating the “curse of dimensionality” where the initial field data were acquired through Ernst & Young’s (EY) Open Science Challenge 2023. RicEns-Net outperforms previous state-of-the-art models (including winners of the EY Open Science Challenge), achieving a mean absolute error (MAE) of 336 kg/Ha, roughly 5%–6% of the lowest regional yield, and a high R2, indicating robust predictive capability. These results underscore the benefit of deep ensembles in precision agriculture and demonstrate the potential of multi-modal data integration for more accurate crop yield forecasting.

Item Type: Article
Date Type: Publication
Status: Published
Schools: Schools > Computer Science & Informatics
Publisher: Elsevier
ISSN: 2352-9385
Funders: N/A
Date of First Compliant Deposit: 28 August 2025
Date of Acceptance: 28 May 2025
Last Modified: 29 Aug 2025 10:31
URI: https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/180702

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