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Modeling of precipitation over Africa: Progress, challenges, and prospects

Akinsanola, A. A., Wenhaji, C. N., Barimalala, R., Monerie, P.-A., Dixon, R. D., Tamoffo, A. T., Adeniyi, M. O., Ongoma, V., Diallo, I., Gudoshava, M., Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, James, R., Silverio, K. C., Faye, A., Nangombe, S. S., Pokam, M. W., Vondou, D. A., Hart, N. C. G., Pinto, I., Kilavi, M., Hagos, S., Rajagopal, E. N., Kolli, R. K. and Joseph, S. 2026. Modeling of precipitation over Africa: Progress, challenges, and prospects. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 43 (1) , pp. 59-86. 10.1007/s00376-024-4187-6

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Abstract

In recent years, there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society. This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change. Likewise, this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa. By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs, numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes. These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies. This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation over Africa in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain.

Item Type: Article
Date Type: Publication
Status: Published
Schools: Schools > Earth and Environmental Sciences
Additional Information: License information from Publisher: LICENSE 1: URL: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, Type: open-access
Publisher: Springer
ISSN: 0256-1530
Date of First Compliant Deposit: 11 November 2025
Date of Acceptance: 24 September 2024
Last Modified: 11 Nov 2025 11:45
URI: https://orca.cardiff.ac.uk/id/eprint/182325

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