Browse by Current Cardiff authors

Beliën, Jeroen, Brailsford, Sally, Demeulemeester, Erik, Demirtas, Derya, Hans, Erwin W. and Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2025. Fifty years of operational research applied to healthcare. European Journal of Operational Research 326 (2) , pp. 189-206. 10.1016/j.ejor.2024.12.040 Item availability restricted.

Williams, Elin H., Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Palmer, Geraint I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7865-6964 and Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559 2025. A systematic review of operational research modelling for alcohol consumption and its consequences. Health Systems 10.1080/20476965.2025.2523751

Palmer, Geraint Ian ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7865-6964, Tuson, Mark, Knight, Vincent ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Brice, Sarie, Smith, Leanne and Gartner, Daniel 2025. On the optimisation of heterogeneous ambulance fleet allocations. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics , dpaf027. 10.1093/imaman/dpaf027

Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559, Knight, Vince ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638, Palmer, Geraint ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7865-6964 and Tuson, Mark 2025. Transforming emergency and urgent care services with mathematical modelling. Aston, Philip J., ed. More UK Success Stories in Industrial Mathematics, Springer, pp. 131-137. (10.1007/978-3-031-48683-8_17)

Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559, Knight, Vincent ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638, Palmer, Geraint ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7865-6964 and Tuson, Mark 2025. Transforming emergency and urgent care services with mathematical modelling. Aston, P.J., ed. More UK Success Stories in Industrial Mathematics, Vol. 42. Mathematics in Industry, Cham, Switzerland: Springer, pp. 131-137. (10.1007/978-3-031-48683-8_17)

Williams, Elizabeth ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4515-441X, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559 and Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2025. Predictive and prescriptive analytics for multi-site modelling of frail and elderly patient services. Journal of the Operational Research Society 10.1080/01605682.2025.2487650

Brice, Syaribah, Boutilier, Justin, Palmer, Geraint ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7865-6964, Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Knight, Vincent ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638, Tuson, Mark and Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559 2024. Close-up on ambulance service estimation in Indonesia: Monte Carlo simulation study. Interactive Journal of Medical Research 13 , e54240. 10.2196/54240

Musa, Che, Firdaus, Muhd, Morgan, Jennifer, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Eduardo, Bernabé and Gallagher, Jennifer E. 2024. Scenario modeling for dentistry in Malaysia: Utilization, privatization, and specialization. Journal of International Oral Health 16 (5) , pp. 403-413. 10.4103/jioh.jioh_133_24

Howells, Matthew, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Palmer, Geraint ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7865-6964 and Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559 2024. Fractured systems: a literature review of OR/MS methods applied to orthopaedic care settings and treatments. Health Systems 13 (3) , pp. 151-176. 10.1080/20476965.2023.2264348

Musa, Muhd Firdaus Che, Morgan, Jennifer, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Bernabé, Eduardo and Gallagher, Jennifer E. 2024. Modelling the future Malaysian clinician dental workforce using system dynamics. Malaysian Journal of Medicine and Health Sciences 20 (2) , pp. 122-132. 10.47836/mjmhs.20.2.17

Grange, Harriet, Johns, Gemma, Ahuja, Alka, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Williams, Elizabeth ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4515-441X and Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559 2024. Capacity planning of virtual wards for frail and elderly patients. Healthcare 12 (5) , 533. 10.3390/healthcare12050533

Behrens, Doris A., Morgan, Jennifer S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7025-0350, Krczal, Eva, Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559 2023. Still looking in the wrong place: literature-based evidence of why patients really attend an emergency department. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences 90 , 101707. 10.1016/j.seps.2023.101707

Bannister, Christian ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8558-9480, Cope, Anwen ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3721-9455, Karki, Anup, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Peddle, Sarah, Walters, Brenda, Allen, Michael and Chestnutt, Ivor Gordon ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9228-800X 2023. Time to complete contemporary dental procedures – estimates from a cross-sectional survey of the dental team. BMC Oral Health 23 , 926. 10.1186/s12903-023-03671-y

Tuson, Mark, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559 and Behrens, Doris 2023. Understanding the impact of social networks on the spread of obesity. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 20 (15) , 6451. 10.3390/ijerph20156451

Panayides, Michalis, Knight, Vince ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 and Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2023. A game theoretic model of the behavioural gaming that takes place at the EMS - ED interface. European Journal of Operational Research 305 (3) , pp. 1236-1258. 10.1016/j.ejor.2022.07.001

Brice, Syaribah N., Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559 and Behrens, Doris A. 2023. Modeling disease progression and treatment pathways for depression jointly using agent based modeling and system dynamics. Frontiers in Public Health 10 , 1011104. 10.3389/fpubh.2022.1011104

England, Tracey, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Crosby, Tom, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559, Arruda, Edilson F., Foley, Kieran and Williamson, Ian 2023. Modelling lung cancer diagnostic pathways using discrete event simulation. Journal of Simulation 17 (1) , pp. 94-104. 10.1080/17477778.2021.1956866

Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559, Williams, Elizabeth M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4515-441X and Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2022. Prescriptive healthcare analytics: a tutorial on discrete optimization and simulation. Presented at: 10th IEEE International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI 2022), Rochester, MN, United States, 11-14 June 2022. Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Healthcare Informatics. IEEE, pp. 1-3. 10.1109/ICHI54592.2022.00111

Cope, Anwen Louise ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3721-9455, Bannister, Christian ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8558-9480, Karki, Anup, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Allen, Michael, Jones, Rhiannon, Peddle, Sarah, Walters, Brenda and Chestnutt, Ivor Gordon ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9228-800X 2022. The development and application of a chairside oral health risk and need stratification tool in general dental services. Journal of Dentistry 123 , 104206. 10.1016/j.jdent.2022.104206

Brice, Syaribah, Boutilier, Justin, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Knight, Vincent ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638, Lloyd, Jen, Djuned, Aryono, Puspita, Asti, Turnbull-Ross, Jonathan and Tuson, Mark 2022. Emergency services utilization in Jakarta (Indonesia): A cross-sectional study of patients attending hospital emergency departments. BMC Health Services Research 22 , 639. 10.1186/s12913-022-08061-8

Williams, Elizabeth, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559 and Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2022. Linking predictive and prescriptive analytics of elderly and frail patient hospital services. Presented at: 10th IEEE International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI 2022), Rochester, MN, United States, 11-14 June 2022. 2022 IEEE 10th International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI). p. 1. 10.1109/ICHI54592.2022.00071

Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559, England, Tracey, Behrens, Doris, Spernaes, Izabela, Buchanan, Joanne and Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2022. Evaluation of participants’ reaction and learning in a taught analytics and modelling academy program in U.K.’s National Health Service. Presented at: 10th IEEE International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI 2022), Rochester, MN, United States, 11-14 June 2022.

Palmer, Geraint Ian ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7865-6964, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Knight, Vincent ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 and Brooks, Cathy 2022. Modelling changes in healthcare demand through geographic data extrapolation. Health Systems 11 (2) , pp. 109-125. 10.1080/20476965.2021.1906764

Williams, Elizabeth ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4515-441X, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559 and Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2021. A survey of OR/MS models on care planning for frail and elderly patients. Operations Research for Health Care 31 , 100325. 10.1016/j.orhc.2021.100325

Ghotane, Swapnil Gajendra, Don-Davis, Patric, Kamara, David, Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Challacombe, Stephen J. and Gallagher, Jennifer E. 2021. Needs-led human resource planning for Sierra Leone in support of oral health. Human Resources for Health 19 (1) , 106. 10.1186/s12960-021-00623-x

Arruda, Edilson, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, England, Tracey, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559, Aspland, Emma, Ourique, Fabrico and Crosby, Tom 2021. Resource optimisation for cancer pathways with aggregate diagnostic demand: a perishable inventory approach. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 32 (2) , pp. 221-236. 10.1093/imaman/dpaa014

Aspland, Emma, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559 and Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2021. Clinical pathway modelling: A literature review. Health Systems 10 (1) , pp. 1-23. 10.1080/20476965.2019.1652547

Aspland, Emma, Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559, Webb, Philip and Barrett-Lee, Peter 2021. Modified Needleman-Wunsch algorithm for clinical pathway clustering. Journal of Biomedical Informatics 115 , 103668. 10.1016/j.jbi.2020.103668

England, Tracey, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Crosby, Tom, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559, Arruda, Edilson F., Foley, Kieran and Williamson, Ian J. 2021. Examining the diagnostic pathway for lung cancer patients in Wales using discrete event simulation. Translational Lung Cancer Research 10 (3) , pp. 1368-1382. 10.21037/tlcr-20-919

Brice, Syaribah, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Crosby, Tom, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559, Arruda, Edilson, England, Tracey, Aspland, Emma and Foley, Kieran 2021. Factors influencing the delivery of cancer pathways: a summary of the literature. Journal of Health Organization and Management 35 (9) , pp. 121-139. 10.1108/JHOM-05-2020-0192

England, Tracey, Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559, Ostler, Edward, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Behrens, D, Boulton, J, Bull, D, Cordeaux, C, Jenkins, I, Lindsay, F, Monk, R and Watkins, L 2021. Near real-time bed modelling feasibility study. Journal of Simulation 15 (4) , pp. 261-272. 10.1080/17477778.2019.1706434

Kheiri, Ahmed, Lewis, Rhydian ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1046-811X, Thompson, Jonathan and Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2021. Constructing operating theatre schedules using partitioned graph colouring techniques. Health Systems 10 (4) , pp. 286-297. 10.1080/20476965.2020.1796530

Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Moore, Joshua and Woolley, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6225-5365 2021. Covid-19 transmission modelling of students returning home from university. Health Systems 10 (1) , pp. 31-40. 10.1080/20476965.2020.1857214

Shone, Rob, Knight, Vincent A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 and Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2020. A conservative index heuristic for routing problems with multiple heterogeneous service facilities. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research 92 , pp. 511-543. 10.1007/s00186-020-00722-w

Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2020. Healthy O.R. in Wales. Impact 2020 (2) , pp. 28-32. 10.1080/2058802X.2020.1768684

Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2020. Server behaviours in healthcare queueing systems. Journal of the Operational Research Society 71 (7) , pp. 1124-1136. 10.1080/01605682.2019.1567653

Kunc, Martin, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Katsikopoulos, Konstantinos 2020. A review of implementation of behavioural aspects in the application of OR in healthcare. Journal of the Operational Research Society 71 (7) , pp. 1055-1072. 10.1080/01605682.2018.1489355

Brailsford, Sally, Carter, Michael, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Katsikopoulos, Konstantinos 2020. Special issue on healthcare behavioural OR [Editorial]. Journal of the Operational Research Society 71 (7) , pp. 1053-1054. 10.1080/01605682.2020.1766848

Williams, Emily, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559 2020. Modelling of the collections process in the blood supply chain: a literature review. IISE Transactions on Healthcare Systems Engineering 10 (3) , pp. 200-211. 10.1080/24725579.2020.1776426

Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Moore, Joshua and Woolley, Thomas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6225-5365 2020. Secondary household Covid-19 transmission modelling of students returning home from university. n/a

Lynam, Anita, Behrens, Doris A., Battista-Dowds, Enzo M., Gartner, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4361-8559 and Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2020. A Monte Carlo simulation model for evaluating the effectiveness of Interventions along the ‘Diabesity’ pathway. Presented at: 8th IEEE International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI 2020), Virtual, 30 November - 3 December 2020. Proceedings of the 8th IEEE International Conference on Healthcare Informatics.

Rauner, Marion S., Schaffhauser-Linzatti, Michaela-Maria, Bauerstätter, Johannes, Schwarz, Bernhard, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Wittig, Klaus and Mayer, Beate 2019. A decision support system for prevention and costing of occupational injuries. International Journal of Decision Support Systems 4 (1) 10.1504/IJDSS.2019.103638

Palmer, Geraint I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7865-6964, Knight, Vincent A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638, Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Hawa, Asyl L. 2019. Ciw: An open-source discrete event simulation library. Journal of Simulation 13 (1) , pp. 68-82. 10.1080/17477778.2018.1473909

Morgan, Jennifer ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7025-0350, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Knight, Vincent ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638, Artemiou, Andreas ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7501-4090, Carney, Alexander and Nelson, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5171-413X 2019. Determining patient outcomes from patient letters: A comparison of text analysis approaches. Journal of the Operational Research Society 70 (9) , pp. 1425-1439. 10.1080/01605682.2018.1506559

Palmer, Geraint I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7865-6964, Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Knight, Vincent A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 2018. Modelling deadlock in open restricted queueing networks. European Journal of Operational Research 266 (2) , pp. 609-621. 10.1016/j.ejor.2017.10.039

Fetta, Angelico, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Knight, Vincent ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 and Williams, Janet 2018. Predicting adolescent social networks to stop smoking in secondary schools. European Journal of Operational Research 265 (1) , pp. 263-276. 10.1016/j.ejor.2017.07.039

Ansah, John Pastor, Koh, Victoria, Bayer, Steffen, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Matchar, David 2018. Healthcare human resource planning. Kahraman, Cengiz and Topcu, Y. Ilker, eds. Operations Research Applications in Health Care Management, Vol. 262. International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, Kluwer Academic Publishers, pp. 515-541. (10.1007/978-3-319-65455-3_20)

Penn, M. L., Potts, C. N. and Harper, P. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2017. Multiple criteria mixed-integer programming for incorporating multiple factors into the development of master operating theatre timetables. European Journal of Operational Research 262 (1) , pp. 194-206. 10.1016/j.ejor.2017.03.065

Vile, J. L., Gillard, J. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9166-298X, Harper, P. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Knight, V. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 2017. A queueing theoretic approach to set staffing levels in time-dependent dual-class service systems. Decision Sciences 48 (4) , pp. 766-794. 10.1111/deci.12236

Arzpayma, P., Jones, H., Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Knight, Vincent ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638, Shipley, D., Edwards, C. and Anstey, A. 2017. Creation and assessment of a computerized modelling tool for optimizing planning of home and hospital-based phototherapy. British Journal of Dermatology 176 (5) , pp. 1390-1391. 10.1111/bjd.14994

Mayor, Sharon, Baines, Elizabeth, Vincent, Charles, Lankshear, Annette ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2418-3783, Edwards, Adrian ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6228-4446, Aylward, Mansel, Hogan, Helen, Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Davies, Jan, Mamtora, Ameet, Brockbank, Emily and Gray, Jonathon 2017. Measuring harm and informing quality improvement in the Welsh NHS: the longitudinal Welsh national adverse events study. Health Services and Delivery Research 5 (9) 10.3310/hsdr05090

Shone, Rob, Knight, Vincent A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638, Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Williams, Janet E. and Minty, John 2016. Containment of socially optimal policies in multiple-facility Markovian queueing systems. Journal of the Operational Research Society 67 (4) , pp. 629-643. 10.1057/jors.2015.98

Vile, Julie Leanne, Gillard, Jonathan William ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9166-298X, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Knight, Vincent Anthony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 2016. Time-dependent stochastic methods for managing and scheduling Emergency Medical Services. Operations Research for Health Care 8 , pp. 42-52. 10.1016/j.orhc.2015.07.002

Wanyonyi, Kristina L., Radford, David R., Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Gallagher, Jennifer E. 2015. Alternative scenarios: harnessing mid-level providers and evidence-based practice in primary dental care in England through operational research. Human Resources for Health 13 (1) , p. 78. 10.1186/s12960-015-0072-9

Young, Terry, Brailsford, Sally, Berry, Rob, Braun, Harald, Cordeaux, Claire, Chaussalet, Thierry, Davies, Keith, Debenedetti, Laurent, Farrar, Mike, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, King, John, Lacey, Peter, Lyon, Justin, Marshall, Adele, McClean, Sally, McKelvie, Douglas, Pollard, Adam, Schmidt,, Paul and Soorapanth, Sada 2015. Improving the NHS demands more than just extra money [Letter]. BMJ 350 (jun24) , h3338. 10.1136/bmj.h3338

Putman, Kayne, Anstey, Alexander ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6345-4144, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Knight, Vincent Anthony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 2015. Modelling of psoriasis patient flows for the reconfiguration of secondary care services and treatments. Health Systems 10.1057/hs.2015.4

Smith, H. K. and Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2015. Can you model growth of trust? A study of the sustainability of a rural community health centre in North India. Journal of Simulation 9 (2) , pp. 170-181. 10.1057/jos.2014.31

Rowse, Elizabeth Louise, Lewis, Rhydian ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1046-811X, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Thompson, Jonathan Mark 2015. Applying set partitioning methods in the construction of operating theatre schedules. Presented at: International Conference on Theory and Practice in Modern Computing 2015, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain, 22-24 July 2015.

Viana, J., Brailsford, Sally, Harindra, V. and Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2014. Combining discrete-event simulation and system dynamics in a healthcare setting: a composite model for Chlamydia infection. European Journal of Operational Research 237 (1) , pp. 196-206. 10.1016/j.ejor.2014.02.052

Sahu, Sujit K., Baffour, Bernard, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Minty, John and Sarran, Christophe 2014. A hierarchical Bayesian model for improving short-term forecasting of hospital demand by including meteorological information. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society) 177 (1) , pp. 39-61. 10.1111/rssa.12008

Sadsad, Rosemarie, McDonnell, Geoff, Viana, Joe, Desai, Shivam, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Brailsford, Sally 2014. Hybrid modelling case studies. Brailsford, Sally, Churilov, Leonid and Dangerfield, Brian, eds. Discrete-Event Simulation and System Dynamics for Management Decision Making, Wiley Series in Operations Research and Management Science, Wiley, pp. 295-317. (10.1002/9781118762745.ch14)

Knight, Vincent Anthony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 and Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2013. Selfish routing in public services. European Journal of Operational Research 230 (1) , pp. 122-132. 10.1016/j.ejor.2013.04.003

Vile, Julie, Gillard, Jonathan William ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9166-298X, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Knight, Vincent Anthony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 2013. Integrating demand forecasting and workforce planning strategies for emergency medical services. Presented at: Operational Research Applied to Health Services (ORAHS), Istanbul, Turkey, July 2013.

Gallagher, Jennifer E., Lim, Zhenlui and Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2013. Workforce skill mix: modelling the potential for dental therapists in state-funded primary dental care. International Dental Journal 63 (2) , pp. 57-64. 10.1111/idj.12006

Smith, H. K., Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Potts, C. N. 2013. Bicriteria efficiency/equity hierarchical location models for public service application. Journal of the Operational Research Society 64 (4) , pp. 500-512. 10.1057/jors.2012.68

Mustafee, Navonil, Harper, Paul robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Kleinman, Eleanor, Gallagher, Jennifer and Knight, Vincent Anthony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 2013. Cost-effective workforce planning: optimising the dental team skill-mix for England. Journal of Enterprise Information Management 26 (1/2) , pp. 91-108. 10.1108/17410391311289569

Knight, Vincent Anthony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Smith, Leanne 2012. Ambulance allocation for maximal survival with heterogeneous outcome measures. OMEGA -The International Journal of Management Science. 40 (6) , pp. 918-926. 10.1016/j.omega.2012.02.003

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Minty, John, Baffour, B. and Sahu, Shristi 2012. MetSim: A simulation support tool using meteorological information to improve the planning and management of hospital services. Presented at: ORAHS 2012 - High Tech - Human Touch: 38th annual meeting of the EURO working group on OR Applied to Health Services, Twente University, Enschede, Netherlands, 15-20 July 2012.

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Minty, John, Sahu, Shristi and Baffour, B. 2012. MetSim: A simulation decision support tool using meteorological information for short-term planning of hospital services. Presented at: SIMULTECH 2012 - 2nd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications, Rome, Italy, 28-31 July 2012. IMULTECH 2012 - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications, Rome, Italy, 28 - 31 July, 2012. SciTePress, pp. 543-547.

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Knight, Vincent Anthony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 and Marshall, A. H. 2012. Discrete conditional phase-type models utilising classification trees: application to modelling health service capacities. European Journal of Operational Research 219 (3) , pp. 522-530. 10.1016/j.ejor.2011.10.035

Brailsford, S. C., Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Sykes, J. 2012. Incorporating human behaviour in simulation models of screening for breast cancer. European Journal of Operational Research 219 (3) , pp. 491-507. 10.1016/j.ejor.2011.10.041

Fetta, Angelico Giovanni, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Knight, Vincent Anthony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638, Vieira, Israel Teixeira and Williams, Janet Elizabeth 2012. On the Peter Principle: An agent based investigation into the consequential effects of social networks and behavioural factors. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 391 (9) , pp. 2898-2910. 10.1016/j.physa.2011.12.053

Knight, Vincent Anthony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 and Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2012. Modelling emergency medical services with phase-type distributions. Health Systems 1 (1) , pp. 58-68. 10.1057/hs.2012.1

Vile, Julie Leanne, Gillard, Jonathan William ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9166-298X, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Knight, Vincent Anthony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 2012. Predicting ambulance demand using singular spectrum analysis. Journal of the Operational Research Society 63 , pp. 1556-1565. 10.1057/jors.2011.160

Rowse, Elizabeth Louise, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Williams, Janet Elizabeth and Smithies, Mark 2012. Optimising the use of resources within the district nursing service: A case study. Health Systems 2 (1) , pp. 43-52. 10.1057/hs.2012.22

Bolt, T., Brailsford, S., Connell, C., Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Klein, J., Pitt, M., Chaussalet, T. M. and Taylor, M. 2011. Overcoming the barriers: a qualitative study of simulation adoption in the NHS. Journal of the Operational Research Society 10.1057/jors.2011.130

Vieira, Israel Teixeira, de Senna, V., Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Shahani, A. K. 2011. Tumour doubling times and the length bias in breast cancer screening programmes. Health Care Management Science 14 (2) , pp. 203-211. 10.1007/s10729-011-9156-9

Jun, Gyuchan T., Morris, Zoe, Eldabi, Tillal, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Naseer, Aisha, Patel, Brijesh and Clarkson, John P. 2011. Development of modelling method selection tool for health services management: From problem structuring methods to modelling and simulation methods. BMC Health Services Research 11 (1) , 108. 10.1186/1472-6963-11-108

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2011. Hospital operating theatre scheduling - advanced booking of individual patients. Presented at: 37th ORAHS Conference, Cardiff, July 2011 - Operational Research Informing National Health Policy, Cardiff, Wales, UK, 24-29 July 2011.

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Knight, Vincent Anthony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638, Vieira, Israel and Williams, Janet Elizabeth 2011. Operational research informing national health policy. Cardiff University.

Jahangirian, Mohsen, Naseer, Aisha, Stergioulas, Lampros, Young, Terry, Eldabi, Tillal, Brailsford, Sally, Patel, Brijesh and Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2010. Simulation in health-care: lessons from other sectors. Operational Research 12 (1) , pp. 45-55. 10.1007/s12351-010-0089-8

Vieira, Israel Teixeira, Cheng, R. C. H., Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and de Senna, V. 2010. Small world network models of the dynamics of HIV infection. Annals of Operations Research 178 (1) , pp. 173-200. 10.1007/s10479-009-0571-y

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2010. Developing a multi-methodology operating theatre scheduling support system. Presented at: IMA Sixth International Conference on Quantitative Modelling in the Management of Health Care, London, UK, 29-31 March 2010.

Gallagher, J. E., Kleinman, E. R. and Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2010. Modelling workforce skill-mix: how can dental professionals meet the needs and demands of older people in England? British Dental Journal 208 (3) , E6. 10.1038/sj.bdj.2010.106

Gallagher, J E., Kleinman, E. R. and Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2010. Summary of: Modelling workforce skill-mix: how can dental professionals meet the needs and demands of older people in England? British Dental Journal 208 (3) , pp. 116-117. 10.1038/sj.bdj.2010.132

Vile, Julie Leanne, Gillard, Jonathan William ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9166-298X, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Knight, Vincent Anthony ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4245-0638 2010. Forecasting Welsh ambulance demand using singular spectrum analysis. Presented at: 36th International ORAHS conference, Genova, Italy, 18-23 July 2010. Published in: Testi, Angela ed. Operations Research for Patient-Centered Health Care Delivery: Proceedings of the XXXVI International ORAHS Conference. Proceedings of the XXXVI International ORAHS Conference. Economia (5) Milan: Franco Angeli, pp. 196-208.

Kleinman, E. R., Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Gallagher, J. E. 2009. Trends in NHS primary dental care for older people in England: implications for the future. Gerodontology 26 (3) , pp. 193-201. 10.1111/j.1741-2358.2008.00260.x

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2009. Location modelling for community healthcare facilities. Presented at: 33rd International Conference of Operational Research Applied to Health Services, St Etienne, France, 15-20 July 2009.

Smith, H. K., Laporte, G. and Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2009. Locational analysis: highlights of growth to maturity. Journal of the Operational Research Society 60 , S140-S148. 10.1057/jors.2008.172

Smith, H. K., Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Potts, C. N. and Thyle, A. 2009. Planning sustainable community health schemes in rural areas of developing countries. European Journal of Operational Research 193 (3) , pp. 768-777. 10.1016/j.ejor.2007.07.031

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Powell, N. H. and Williams, Janet Elizabeth 2009. Modelling the size and skill-mix of hospital nursing teams. Journal of the Operational Research Society 61 (5) , pp. 768-779. 10.1057/jors.2009.43

Brailsford, S. C., Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Patel, B. and Pitt, M. 2009. An analysis of the academic literature on simulation and modelling in health care. Journal of Simulation 3 (3) , pp. 130-140. 10.1057/jos.2009.10

Arisha, A., Thorwarth, M. and Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2009. Simulation model to investigate flexible workload management for healthcare and servicescape environment. Presented at: Winter Simulation Conference, Washington, USA, December 2009.

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Leite Jr., Evandro 2008. TreeWorks: Advances in Scalable Decision Trees. International Journal of Healthcare Information Systems and Informatics (IJHISI) 3 (4) , pp. 53-68. 10.4018/jhisi.2008100104

Brailsford, S. C. and Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2007. Editorial - Special issue: Operational research in health. Journal of the Operational Research Society 58 (2) , pp. 141-144. 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602267

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2007. Simulation modelling of a major accident and emergency department in Rome. Presented at: 31st Meeting of Operational Research Applied to Health Services, Southampton, UK, July 2007.

Brailsford, Sally and Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2007. Operational research for health policy: Making better decisions. Peter Lang.

Evenden, D., Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Brailsford, S. C. and Harindra, V. 2006. Improving the cost-effectiveness of Chlamydia screening with targeted screening strategies. Journal of the Operational Research Society 57 (12) , pp. 1400-1412. 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602134

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Winslett, D. J. 2006. Classification trees: A possible method for maternity risk grouping. European Journal of Operational Research 169 (1) , pp. 146-156. 10.1016/j.ejor.2004.05.014

Brailsford, S. C., Sykes, J. and Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2006. Incorporating human behavior in healthcare simulation models. Presented at: Winter Simulation Conference, 2006 (WSC 06), Monterey, CA, USA, 3-6 December 2006. Published in: Perrone, L. F., Wieland, F. P., Liu, J., Lawson, B. G., Nicol, D. M. and Fujimoto, R. M. eds. Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference, 2006 (WSC 06). Los Alamitos, CA: IEEE, pp. 466-472. 10.1109/WSC.2006.323117

Harper, Paul ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2006. Modelling for the reprovision and redesign of intermediate care services in the UK - a local example. Presented at: 30th Meeting of Operational Research Applied to Health Services, Stockholm, Sweden, July 2006.

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2006. Combined geomapping, statistical risk grouping and computer simulation for modelling chlamydia infection dynamics and screening strategies. Presented at: 30th Meeting of Operational Research Applied to Health Services, Stockholm, Sweden, July 2006.

Evenden, Dave, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Brailsford, Sally C. and Harindra, Veerakathy 2005. System Dynamics modeling of Chlamydia infection for screening intervention planning and cost-benefit estimation. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 16 (3) , pp. 265-279. 10.1093/imaman/dpi022

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, de Senna, V., Vieira, Israel Teixeira and Shahani, A. K. 2005. A genetic algorithm for the project assignment problem. Computers & Operations Research 32 (5) , pp. 1255-1265. 10.1016/j.cor.2003.11.003

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Jones, S. K. 2005. Mathematical models for the early detection and treatment of colorectal cancer. Health Care Management Science 8 (2) , pp. 101-109. 10.1007/s10729-005-0393-7

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Shahani, A. K., Gallagher, J. E. and Bowie, C. 2005. Planning health services with explicit geographical considerations: a stochastic location-allocation approach. OMEGA - The International Journal of Management Science 33 (2) , pp. 141-152. 10.1016/j.omega.2004.03.011

Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2005. A review and comparison of classification algorithms for medical decision making. Health Policy 71 (3) , pp. 315-331. 10.1016/j.healthpol.2004.05.002

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Phillips, S. and Gallagher, J. E. 2005. Geographical simulation modelling for the regional planning of oral and maxillofacial surgery across London. Journal of the Operational Research Society 56 (2) , pp. 134-143. 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601898

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2005. Combining data mining tools with health care models for improved understanding of health processes and resource utilisation. Clinical and Investigative Medicine 28 (6) , pp. 338-341.

Rauner, Marion, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Schwartz, Bernard 2005. Economic impact of occupational injuries: resource allocation for prevention programs. Central European Journal of Operations Research , pp. 393-424.

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Pitt, M. A. 2004. On the challenges of healthcare modelling and a proposed project life cycle for successful implementation. Journal of the Operational Research Society 55 (6) , pp. 657-661. 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601719

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Yates, J., Wilderspin, H., Shahani, A. K., Bowie, C. and Duff, C. 2004. Population needs assessment and access modelling for cardiac services. Journal of the Operational Research Society 55 (5) , pp. 529-534. 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601644

Ball, Carol, Walker, Guy, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Sanders, Deborah and McElligott, Maura 2004. Moving on from 'patient dependency' and 'nursing workload' to managing risk in critical care. Intensive and Critical Care Nursing 20 (2) , pp. 62-68. 10.1016/j.iccn.2004.02.001

Harper, Paul Harper ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Sayyad, M. G., de Senna, V., Shahani, A. K., Yajnik, C. S. and Shelgikar, K. M. 2003. A systems modelling approach for the prevention and treatment of diabetic retinopathy. European Journal of Operational Research 150 (1) , pp. 81-91. 10.1016/S0377-2217(02)00787-7

Vieira, Israel Teixeira, Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, Shahani, A. K. and de Senna, V. 2003. Mother-to-child transmission of HIV: a simulation-based approach for the evaluation of intervention strategies. Journal of the Operational Research Society 54 (7) , pp. 713-722. 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601566

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Shahani, A. K. 2003. A decision support system for the care of HIV and AIDS patients in India. European Journal of Operational Research 147 (1) , pp. 187-197. 10.1016/S0377-2217(02)00270-9

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Gamlin, H. M. 2003. Reduced outpatient waiting times with improved appointment scheduling: a simulation modelling approach. OR Spectrum 25 (2) , pp. 207-222. 10.1007/s00291-003-0122-x

Costa, A. X., Ridley, S. A., Shahani, A. K., Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907, de Senna, V. and Nielsen, M. S. 2003. Mathematical modelling and simulation for planning critical care capacity. Anaesthesia 58 (4) , pp. 320-327. 10.1046/j.1365-2044.2003.03042.x

Harper, Paul R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 2002. A framework for operational modelling of hospital resources. Health Care Management Science 5 , pp. 165-173. 10.1023/A:1019767900627

Harper, Paul Robert ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7894-4907 and Shahani, A. K. 2002. Modelling for the planning and management of bed capacities in hospitals. Journal of the Operational Research Society 53 (1) , pp. 11-18. 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601278